Bracketology: March 3

Just about every game means something this time of year, whether it’s improving your resume with a win or hurting your body of work with a loss. In what amounts to just a 30-35 game season, every game holds some kind of importance. Before we jump into today’s bracket projection, here are some results from the last few days that have had an influence on the bracket, and a few games coming up tonight that will as well.

#8 North Carolina 75, Syracuse 70
The Orange are probably safe, but a win in this one could have stamped their ticket to the dance. As it stands, they should feel comfortable if they can get at least one win in the ACC Tournament.

#4 Virginia 64, Clemson 57
Clemson is on the wrong side of the Bubble right now, and a win over Virginia might have changed that. For the Cavaliers, is just another solid win to add to a very good resume, one that appears to be that of a 1-seed.

#12 Indiana 81, #16 Iowa 78
This win clinched the Big Ten regular season title for the Hoosiers, adding another big win to their resume in the process. Meanwhile, Iowa lost their 4th consecutive game, the second of which came at home. A team that once looked like a potential 1-seed could end up slipping all the way down to a 5 or 6 seed if they continue to struggle.

#22 Kentucky 88, Florida 79
It’s hard to call this a bad loss for the Gators, but for a team that is squarely on the Bubble, a home win over Kentucky would have done wonders. They now have 13 losses, and I believe they’ll need to get to at least the SEC semifinals if they’re going to make the field.

#7 Miami 68, Notre Dame 50
Notre Dame is struggling here down the stretch, but I along with others expected a better performance from a team that has beaten Duke, North Carolina and Louisville this year. This is a big road statement from Miami, as they look to secure at least a share of the ACC regular season title.

St. Bonaventure 98, St. Joseph’s 90
This is a huge win for the Bonnies, who many experts believe would make the Tournament if the field was chosen today. In February alone, they’ve defeated St. Joseph’s twice, Dayton and George Washington. It’s looking good for the Bonnies.

Arkansas 62, Alabama 61
This result is the end of the “Alabama to the NCAA Tournament” parade. They made a nice little run at the end of the season, but a home loss to Arkansas means the Crimson Tide will have to win the SEC to get to the dance.

Cincinnati @ Houston
Every possible,eligible tournament team in the American is on the Bubble, and these two teams are definitely included. Cincinnati is much closer than Houston, and therefore they will be more desperate for the victory here.

#25 California @ #18 Arizona
Cal is arguably the hottest team in the country, and if they can take the season sweep from Arizona, I could see them working their way up to a 3 or 4 seed, which would have seemed bonkers just a few weeks ago.

Stanford @ Arizona State
The Cardinal are making a late season push to get into the NCAA Tournament, and if they’re going to make that happen, they can’t afford to lose to Arizona State.

One final weekend in the 2015-2016 college basketball regular season, and going into that, here is today’s bracket projection.

*Auto-bids in bold, regions listed by 1-seed ranking*

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